There is always a bit of a hangover when the domestic football season ends but we don’t have to wait long until the World Cup which is now less than a month away. The World Cup betting odds suggest not many teams have a chance of winning big this summer but what are the best bets?
It’s hard to disagree with the current World Cup odds offered by the bookies which make Brazil the 3/1 favourites. In the past over three quarters of World Cups played have gone to a team playing in their own continent and no European team has ever gone to South America and won a World Cup. To narrow the field down further than just the South American teams you can look at previous odds of the winners. In six of the last seven World Cups a team who started the tournament at 7/1 or lower has lifted the trophy. That would then suggest that only Brazil or Argentina can win. Argentina are certainly respected but Brazil are almost impossible to beat at home, they won the Confederations Cup last summer at a canter with a 3-0 final win over world champions Spain. That 3/1 on Brazil might look very big very soon.
If looking for a bet at bigger odds why not try the top goalscorer betting where most bookies go 10/1 the field? Here you want to back a player from a nation that will reach the semi final. That guarantees a total of seven matches rather than just five if you reach the quarter final.
Argentina arguably have the easiest route to the semi final which should provide them with the full quote of games and plenty of goals along the way. They have been drawn against Bosnia-Herzegovina, Iran and Nigeria in Group F then their likely knockout matches are Switzerland followed by Portugal or Belgium. Many will look at Lionel Messi but he could be outshined by his team mate Gonzalo Higuain at a bigger price. Messi scored one more goal than Higuain in qualifying but Higuain had a better goals to games ratio. It is also worth noting that Higuain was only a goal away from being crowned Golden Boot four years ago at a tournament Messi failed to score in. At 25/1 Higuain represents great value.
If you fancy collecting part way through the tournament then check out the group betting opportunities. Belgium look a banker to win Group H against Russia, Algeria and South Korea but are just about a backable price at 4/6. You could even stick it in a double with France and Switzerland to both qualify from Group E (that single pays 6/5). The opposition in Group E is Honduras who didn’t score a goal at the last World Cup and Ecuador who didn’t win outside of their own country (where they play at high altitude) in qualifying. That double pays over 5/2.